Aplikasi Prediksi IHSG Berbasis Web Dengan Integrasi Multi-Algoritma

Dwi Eko Waluyo; Cinantya Paramita; Hayu Wikan Kinasih; Dewi Pergiwati; Fauzi Adi Rafrastara

doi:10.30591/jpit.v9i2.6193

Aplikasi Prediksi IHSG Berbasis Web Dengan Integrasi Multi-Algoritma

Dwi Eko Waluyo, Cinantya Paramita, Hayu Wikan Kinasih, Dewi Pergiwati, Fauzi Adi Rafrastara

Abstract

The four regression algorithms used in predicting the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) have contributed significantly, as the test results show that the Decision Tree algorithm outperforms k-Nearest Neighbor, Linear Regression, and Random Forest, especially in terms of Mean Squared Error (MSE) and R2 score. The stages of data collection, pre-processing, and modeling, followed by model performance measurement, have provided valuable insights into the effectiveness of each algorithm. The success of the Decision Tree in this testing has further propelled its development into a web-based application. This conversion process, following the outlined flowchart, integrates various essential aspects of the model, including user interface and back-end integration, ensuring that the application can be accessed and used efficiently and effectively. Furthermore, the black box testing and User Acceptance Testing (UAT) results, using the Mean Opinion Score (MOS), enhance the validity and reliability of the application. Black box testing involving 2 features with 37 steps demonstrates the system's effectiveness in producing valid outputs, from the initial menu display to the prediction results. Additionally, UAT involving students and entrepreneurs as respondents provides in-depth insights into user acceptance. With a focus on functionality at 97.08%, reliability at 96.09%, and usability at 98.09%, UAT yields high scores in all three aspects, with usability achieving the highest score. These results not only confirm the efficiency of the system in performing its functions but also indicate a high level of user satisfaction, strongly suggesting the potential for widespread adoption of this application in the future.

Keywords

IHSG, regression, prediction, application, testing, blackbox, UAT, MOS, algorithm

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DOI: https://doi.org/10.30591/jpit.v9i2.6193